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On a 764 flop, I C-bet about 2/3 pot and get no further action. Long live the KKings! I raise and get one caller. This is one of the loosest games in town, where raises to 10 big blinds or more frequently get multiple callers. Everyone else folds and I win the blinds. Everyone folds to me, so of course I raise, but no more than normal. One of my dear blog readers asks me, “isn’t AJ called the Soul Sucker?” Ironically I checked the flop when ahead, and bet the turn and river when behind. I bet again, rather smallish, and get called. Will A8 or A6 call me again? Will any 1-pair hand without an ace call, like KT or JJ? On the other hand, I deliberately under-represented my hand by checking the flop, so thin value seems like an option. I don’t really like this card, as there are very few hands with an ace that I can beat… losing to AK, AQ, AT, A9, A7 and A2. The river is a 9, making the final board AT7-2-9. I’ll bet on the turn for value, and do, and get called. On an A-high flop, I check, to disguise the strength of my hand. While waiting for regression to the mean to kick in, I simply wait and look for spots to pick up a few chips. Put differently, 3-6 hands every hour might provide good value betting opportunities (minus, of course, those that run into even bigger monsters, which we must learn to identify and fold). By the river, I should make three-of-a-kind or better about 18.5% of the time, or approx. On average, I should make two pair or better on the flop about 11.5% of the time.

Suppose I’m seeing flops with a tight but not terribly nitty range of the top 20% of all hands. These are the kind of hands that create the best paydays.

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I haven’t made a single full house, or flush, or straight, or flopped a set or even top 2-pair. Three or four hours in, I’m thinking about my value betting opportunities. In theory, practice is exactly like theory. Soon after that, I win a medium size pot after 3-betting with AQ, getting two callers a Q-high flop, and called again on the flop before they both surrender. Over 90 minutes pass before I win a single small pot (with a bluff!). Like putting the frustration in a teriyaki marinade before grilling. All-in bets are made and called, chips stack amassed and destroyed, more buy-ins, seats vacated and quickly filled. Reduced to a spectator, I watch the poker chips fly across the table like little flying saucers whizzing George Jetson and his boy Elroy & friends across a galaxy of felt. Both value and stealing opportunities abound. Other players tend to limp more and raise less in straddle pots in a misguided effort at pot control. The three players to my left were all straddling on the button. Long sequences of hand like T2, 72, 94, T4, J4, 93, 82 in patience eroding repetition.

Last night, however, this strategy served up some perfectly grilled frustration on a silver platter.įor the longest time, I was card dead. In theory, all we have to do is be patient and bet for value when we are pretty sure we have the best hand. Bet sizes being larger on the later streets, the payoff from value bets is much greater on action at the turn and river. When you make a value bet and get called by a worse hand, you collect that much more.

When you bluff, you collect whatever is in the pot.

There are two simple reasons this is true: In low stakes no limit Texas Holdem, however, the path to profits runs through value betting. Every poker player should have bluffs in his or her arsenal.

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Bluffs that work based on accurate reads or range analysis plus an understanding of which villains will fold are smart poker.